San Leon,Texas Devastated by Hurricane Ike pt.3 (
txcuda)
Images taken in San Leon,Texas along Bayshore Dr.and Ave A 1/2 Tuesday afternoon. The devastation caused by Hurricane Ike is something that will take this community years to recover from. Relief crews from both the National Guard as well as the Red Cross were seen this afternoon. Quite a few residents will find that they no longer have a home when they return. Those that rode the storm out along the bayshore are fortunate to be still with us as there have been quite a few fatalities in just this small community.Electricity is weeks if not months off...and water service will be a week or more before it can be restored. Crews were out this afternoon shutting off service to meters that had no home any longer. The mosquitos are out in clouds but at least
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Here is the best view of that house IMHO!
Look for the blue drum and you will see it on the map image below.
Church Street House
Still can't believe that huge house next to him is gone and didn't damage that lone house at all..
;=O
I didn't know there was a hurricane to hit the states after Katrina until Gustav. Even when Ike was headed over, there was more talk about the aniversary of Katrina then how to prepare for the hurricane.
I always evacuate to GA. Funny thing is, they always have tornado warnings because of teh hurricane's. Sometimes I don't know what is safer, staying in pensacola or evacuating to Atlanta. BTW, that's funny - ironic, not funny - ha ha.
Sad.. All those homes are completely gone..
Tropical Cyclone Warning #80
15:00 PM JST September 18 2008
==========================================
SUBJECT: CATEGORY TWO TYPHOON IN EAST CHINA SEAS
At 15:00 PM JST, Severe Tropical Storm Sinlaku (980 hPa) located near 30.5N 130.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 60 knots with gusts of 85 knots. The storm is reported as moving east-northeast at 13 knots.
Storm-Force Winds
================
30 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
===============
150 NM east from the center
90 NM west from the center
Forecast and Intensity
==========================
24 HRS: 33.1N 135.1E - 50 knots (CAT 2)
48 HRS: 36.0N 142.2E - 35 knots (CAT 1)
72 HRS: 38.5N 149.3E - (EXTRATROPICAL)
You mean except tearing it off it's foundation and rotating it 180 Degrees? Lol.. I'm pretty sure it's facing the opposite way that it was before Ike..
Who knows hard to tell and the light pole is right next to it you would think if the house rotated it would take out that pole.
I watched the video of the Galveston city council meeting yesterday. She is clearly in over her head with all this. Mayor Brent Warr of Gulfport Mississippi is heading to Galveston with a convey of supplies. He is also going to try to help her and the Galveston council with the lessons he learned from Hurricane Katrina. He had only been in office two months when Katrina hit. He's done a pretty good job of navigating through all the FEMA and other Federal government red tape.
I don't know for sure, but I also think he may also been able to persuade her to call for a mandatory evacuation. He had been on the phone with her and he probably let her know what the forecasted storm surge could do based on our experiences with Katrina.
I'm hoping he'll be able to help. Our fire chief is already there helping with search and rescue.
i might be wrong but it appears that a surface low is trying to form south east of Barbados. there is a noticeable rotation at 12.5 n 57 w. pressures are low in the area but the QS missed the area this morning. i will have to wait for visible sat pics to ascertain if a low is really forming east of the windwards islands
Many still out of power here in Lufkin, Texas. Luckily, ours came on yesterday morning. Talk about withdrawal from Internet. Luckily, had power at work the first of the week.
I am trying to see what might be in store for us next if anything. We used to spend lots of time in Gilchrist and Crystal Beach. Such a sad thing.
www.portlight.org
Gotta get ready for work now, but will check back this afternoon. Hopefully, I will get the hang of this soon!!
Currently there're 3 forecast models (CMC, GFS, NOGAPS) that are developing it and they vary on strenght and organization.
CMC: Develops it south of DR and moves it N before it hits a High to its north and it would either go W towards the Bahamas or out to sea... remains to be seen and need to watch for more consistency on this one.
GFS: Develops it and handles it like a Fay.
NOGAPS: Develops it like CMC and takes it out to sea due.
In my opinion current conditions are favorable for development in the Carib. Sea. Low shear between 5 to 10 knots, plenty of moisture and a ULL to its NW and far enough away from it enhance the formation of a High aloft and help with the outflow. Like I mention yesterday evening following a post KEEPEROFTHEGATE made. So if this disturbance area keeps getting its act together and persists then there's going to definitely be some development and forecast model persistance on this one will also play a role.
Link
impressive wave !!
000
AXNT20 KNHC 181034
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU SEP 18 2008
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE IS NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS ALONG 22W/23W S
OF 18N MOVING W 10 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
WAVE. A LOW LEVEL SWIRL IS SEEN NEAR 17N22W. THE TPW PRODUCT
FROM CIMSS ALSO INDICATES A BULGE OF MOISTURE E OF 28W.
A LOW AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 43W S OF 14N MOVING W 10
KT. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE. ISOLATED
SHOWERS ARE HOWEVER WITHIN 180 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS.
A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 70W S OF 19N MOVING W 10-15 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COASTS OF
VENEZUELA AND N COLOMBIA FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 69W-77W.
A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA
ALONG 86W/87W S OF 22N MOVING W 10-15 KT. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ARE OVER A LARGE AREA FROM 09N-18N
BETWEEN 80W-92W.
...THE ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 19N17W 10N28W 11N62W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF
SOUTH AMERICA FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 56W-64W. SCATTERED SHOWERS
ARE OVER A LARGE AREA FROM 4N-13N BETWEEN 20W-45W.
...DISCUSSION...
GULF OF MEXICO...
A WEAK QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM N FLORIDA TO THE BAY
OF CAMPECHE ALONG 30N79W 28N84W 27N91W 18N94W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS OVER THE W GULF OF MEXICO AND THE BAY OF CAMPECHE
FROM 17N-26N BETWEEN 91W-97W. 10-15 NLY WINDS ARE N OF THE
FRONT...WHILE 10 KT ELY WINDS ARE S OF THE FRONT. IN THE UPPER
LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE NEAR 22N98W PRODUCING ANTICYCLONIC FLOW W OF 90W. A
TROUGH IS OVER THE E GULF OF MEXICO AND FLORIDA E OF 90W. EXPECT
...THE FRONT TO RETROGRADE SLIGHTLY N THEN DISSIPATE OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. EXPECT CONTINUED CONVECTION OVER THE W GULF OF
MEXICO W OF 90W FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ALSO EXPECT AIRMASS
CONVECTION OVER S FLORIDA AND THE KEYS.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND CENTRAL
AMERICA. SEE ABOVE. FRESH SURFACE EASTERLIES DOMINATE MUCH OF
THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER
LEVEL HIGH IS OVER HONDURAS NEAR 15N87W. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS
CENTERED N OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS NEAR 22N64W. DIFFLUENCE E OF
THE CENTER IS PRODUCING AN IMPRESSIVE AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS FROM 14N-20N
BETWEEN 58W-64W. SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE DOMINATES THE
ENTIRE CARIBBEAN. EXPECT CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL
WAVES OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ALSO EXPECT AIRMASS CONVECTION
OVER CENTRAL AMERICA.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE OVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SEE ABOVE. A 1014 MB LOW IS OVER THE W
ATLANTIC NEAR 33N65W, A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS SW FROM THE LOW
TO THE SRN BAHAMAS NEAR 24N73W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 120
NM OF THE TROUGH AXIS. A 1023 MB SURFACE HIGH IS OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 33N50W. THE TAIL END OF A COLD FRONT IS
OVER THE E ATLANTIC ALONG 32N16W 26N24W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 90 NM OF THE FRONT. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A RIDGE IS OVER
THE W ATLANTIC N OF 20N BETWEEN 70W-80W. UPPER LEVEL LOWS ARE
OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 27N47W...AND AT 23N40W. A LARGE
TROUGH IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC N OF 20N AND E OF 30W. TWO UPPER
LEVEL HIGHS ARE CENTERED OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC AT 15N54W...
AND AT 12N28W. EXPECT THE TROPICAL WAVES TO PROPAGATE WEST WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
$$
FORMOSA
the tropic isn´t quiet, this activity promises something
First let me apologize to Dr M for the nash/vort moment I am about to have....(no offense guys, but if I did not try to lighten the mood of the gravity of this some, I am not sure I could have even gotten through posting it.)
No shit!!! I have no problem and completely understand people wanting to live on our beautiful coastlines, but common sense has to kick in somewhere with stuff like this...
There are Portlight Relief updates in my blog.
000
ABNT20 KNHC 180514
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU SEP 18 2008
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
Still blissful. :)
twoat
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl 800 am edt thu sep 18 2008
for the north atlantic...caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico...
a tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trough is producing a large area of showers and a few thunderstorms over the lesser antilles. conditions do not appear conducive for development of this system during the next couple of days...but locally heavy rains could continue over portions of the windward and leeward islands today.
tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.
ABNT20 KNHC 181158
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU SEP 18 2008
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS PRODUCING
A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE LESSER
ANTILLES. CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...BUT LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS COULD CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND LEEWARD
ISLANDS TODAY.
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
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