Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

The destruction of Gilchrist, Texas
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 02:55 PM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 17, 2008 +5
We're in day three of my promised 7-10 day lull in Atlantic hurricane activity. That prediction is still looking good. There are no threat areas to discuss today, and the earliest any model foresees a tropical storm developing is Sunday, when the NOGAPS indicates something developing in the western Caribbean. The GFS model predicts this development will occur on the other side of Central America, in the Eastern Pacific. The GFS also predicts development of a tropical depression by Tuesday off the coast of Africa.

The destruction of Gilchrist
Many of you have probably seen the photo of Gilchrist, Texas showing complete destruction of the town of 750 people, save for one lone home. High-resolution satellite imagery made available by NOAA's National Geodetic Survey (Figure 1) confirm that of the approximately 1000 structures existing in the town before Hurricane Ike, only about five survived the hurricane. Approximately 200 of these buildings were homes, and it is thought that some of the residents attempted to ride out the storm in their homes. According to media reports, about 34 survivors from Gilchrist and the neighboring communities of Crystal Beach and Port Bolivar have been fished out of Galveston Bay in the past few days. Rescuers who have reached Gilchrist have not been able to find any victims in the debris because there is no debris. Ike's storm surge knocked 99.5% of the 1,000 buildings in Gilchrist off their foundations and either demolished them or washed them miles inland into the swamplands behind Gilchrist. Until search teams can locate the debris of what was once was Gilchrist, we will not know the fate of those who may have stayed behind to ride out the storm.



Figure 1. The town of Gilchrist, Texas before and after Hurricane Ike. Image credit (top): Googlemaps.com, DigitalGlobe, GeoEye, Houston-Galveston Area Council. Bottom: National Geodetic Survey.

Why did Gilchrist get destroyed?
It's rare to see a town so completely destroyed by a hurricane, to the point where you can't even see the wreckage. The neighboring towns of Crystal Beach, to the south, and High Island, to the north, were also mostly destroyed, but weren't swept clean of nearly all structures and wreckage. This is because Gilchrist was built in an unusually vulnerable place. It's bad enough to situate your town on a low-lying peninsula, as was the case for Crystal Beach. But in Gilchrist's case, the town was located at the narrowest point of the Bolivar Peninsula, at a point where it was only a few hundred meters wide (Figure 2). Not only did Gilchrist suffer a head-on assault by Ike's direct storm surge of 14+ feet, topped by 20' high battering waves, the town also suffered a reverse surge once the hurricane had passed. As Ike moved to the north, the counter-clockwise flow of wind around the storm pushed Galveston Bay's waters back across the town of Gilchrist from northwest to southeast. This second surge of water likely finished off anything the main storm surge had left.

Will Gilchrist be rebuilt?
I hope the government will see fit to buy up the land that was once the town of Gilchrist and make it into a park. Building a town in Gilchrist's location makes as much sense as building a town on the sides of an active volcano. (Unfortunately, there are plenty of people who have done just that, such as on the slopes of Mt. Vesuvius in Italy). If past history is any guide, Gilchrist will be rebuilt, and it will take another mighty hurricane to permanently take down the town. That was the case for the town of Indianola, Texas, which lay in a vulnerable low-lying location on the shores of Matagorda Bay in the mid-1800's. Indianola was the second largest port in the state of Texas, and home to 5,000 people. In 1875, a powerful Category 3 hurricane piled up a huge storm surge as it came ashore in Indianola. The surge destroyed 3/4 of the town's 2,000 buildings, and killed 176 people. The city was rebuilt, but in 1886, a devastating Category 4 hurricane swept almost the entire town of Indianola into Matagorda Bay, killing another 250 townspeople. The people of Indianola finally gave up and moved elsewhere, and the ruins of their town now lie under four feet of water in Matagorda Bay.


Figure 2. The Bolivar Peninsula, Texas before Hurricane Ike. The "A" pink balloon marker shows the location of Crystal Beach. Gilchrist is to the northeast of Crystal Beach, at a point where the peninsula narrows down to just a few hundred meters wide. Image credit: Googlemaps.com, TerraMetrica, LeadDog Consulting, Tele Atlas.

Links to follow
High-resolution photos of the Bolivar Peninsula are available using Microsoft's HD View Beta.

How you can help
For those of you who want to help those in need, I'm proud to say that a group of wunderground members are spearheading their own Hurricane Ike relief effort, aimed at providing assistance and supplies to people that are not in the mainstream relief areas. They've already raised $5000, and the first relief truck with supplies is on the way to Texas. Deductions are tax-deductible, and can be made in several ways:

Patrap's wunderblog
www.stormjunkie.com
www.portlight.org

Everything they are doing is at the specific request of people on the scene. At the request of the Director of Disability Affairs for the Mayor of Houston, they are sending 50 wheelchairs, 500 walkers, 200 pairs of crutches, and several pallets of first aid supplies. They are also sending a 16-foot truck from Charleston loaded with drinks, personal hygiene products, and non perishable food items. A truck is heading out of New Orleans with similar supplies. Every Catholic school in South Carolina is collecting supplies with the goal of filling two more trucks.

Of course, contributing to the Red Cross or your local church is another great way to help out. Thanks!

Jeff Masters
San Leon,Texas Devastated by Hurricane Ike pt.3 (txcuda)
Images taken in San Leon,Texas along Bayshore Dr.and Ave A 1/2 Tuesday afternoon. The devastation caused by Hurricane Ike is something that will take this community years to recover from. Relief crews from both the National Guard as well as the Red Cross were seen this afternoon. Quite a few residents will find that they no longer have a home when they return. Those that rode the storm out along the bayshore are fortunate to be still with us as there have been quite a few fatalities in just this small community.Electricity is weeks if not months off...and water service will be a week or more before it can be restored. Crews were out this afternoon shutting off service to meters that had no home any longer. The mosquitos are out in clouds but at least
San Leon,Texas Devastated by Hurricane Ike pt.3
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751. BKeen12 06:26 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
night everyone be back tmr morn to see if the "blob" is still around!
752. lopaka001 06:42 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Just reading through the blog and some peeps didn't think that was the house in Doc's blog.
Here is the best view of that house IMHO!
Look for the blue drum and you will see it on the map image below.
Church Street House
Still can't believe that huge house next to him is gone and didn't damage that lone house at all..
;=O
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753. PensacolaNewbie 06:43 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Quoting seflagamma:
yes code, I agree,

Houma got hit bad, read doc's blog.. and because it is not a big city, no publicity...

when we got Wilma.. hours after the storm.. no publicity at all..(was not a big Miami event) . I called all my family to let them know we survived and they didn't even know we had a bad hit.. they watched TV and TWC and saw "only a Cat2" an no real damage...
HECK what was it, over 600,000 people in S FLA without power for over a week, some for 2 weeks and some for over a month..couldn't get down the roads because of falling trees?

and no national publicity at all really because the world was still watching Katrina in New Orleans recovery (same with Rita they really didn't get coverage after katrina in New Orleans)

And this does not take from the devestation of Katrina in New Orleans but the Gulf Coast of MS got a larger storm surge after Katrina and they got very little publicity.

Only when large metro areas are hit will you get the media there.

and if you don't get the media there you don't get the help.. but some of us are ok with that. LOL





I didn't know there was a hurricane to hit the states after Katrina until Gustav. Even when Ike was headed over, there was more talk about the aniversary of Katrina then how to prepare for the hurricane.
754. groundgirl 07:06 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Quoting flaboyinga:


Let's just call that dedication too. Like all of us being on the blog at all hours of the day and night.lol
My husband calls it nosiness on my part, ie my being on the blog all hours, that and what in the world are you looking @ NOW!! LOL
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755. PensacolaNewbie 07:09 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Quoting Bones429:


After Andrew there wasn't a mass evacaution to other states or even to other parts of Florida for that matter. Most of the evacuees were shelter within South Florida. That is one of the main things Florida has been able to do, house their evacuees for the most part within the state except for some that have come up I-75 and I-95 into GA.




I always evacuate to GA. Funny thing is, they always have tornado warnings because of teh hurricane's. Sometimes I don't know what is safer, staying in pensacola or evacuating to Atlanta. BTW, that's funny - ironic, not funny - ha ha.
756. HurricaneFCast 07:09 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Quoting kerneld:
Google for Gilchrist, TX and I get first hit a properties for sale page. Anyone buying?

http://www.homes.com/Real_Estate/TX/City/GILCHRIST

Sad.. All those homes are completely gone..
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757. HadesGodWyvern 07:10 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Warning #80
15:00 PM JST September 18 2008
==========================================

SUBJECT: CATEGORY TWO TYPHOON IN EAST CHINA SEAS

At 15:00 PM JST, Severe Tropical Storm Sinlaku (980 hPa) located near 30.5N 130.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 60 knots with gusts of 85 knots. The storm is reported as moving east-northeast at 13 knots.

Storm-Force Winds
================
30 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
150 NM east from the center
90 NM west from the center

Forecast and Intensity
==========================
24 HRS: 33.1N 135.1E - 50 knots (CAT 2)
48 HRS: 36.0N 142.2E - 35 knots (CAT 1)
72 HRS: 38.5N 149.3E - (EXTRATROPICAL)
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758. HurricaneFCast 07:12 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Quoting lopaka001:
Just reading through the blog and some peeps didn't think that was the house in Doc's blog.
Here is the best view of that house IMHO!
Look for the blue drum and you will see it on the map image below.
Church Street House
Still can't believe that huge house next to him is gone and didn't damage that lone house at all..
;=O

You mean except tearing it off it's foundation and rotating it 180 Degrees? Lol.. I'm pretty sure it's facing the opposite way that it was before Ike..
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759. lopaka001 07:22 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Quoting HurricaneFCast:

You mean except tearing it off it's foundation and rotating it 180 Degrees? Lol.. I'm pretty sure it's facing the opposite way that it was before Ike..


Who knows hard to tell and the light pole is right next to it you would think if the house rotated it would take out that pole.
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760. Dar9598 07:50 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Looks like the next invest over Africa could be a Problem in the coming days
761. seawitch1261 09:41 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Quoting CaptnDan142:
621. houston144

The airspace over Galveston is not within the jurisdiction of the Mayor. The "no-fly zone" is established by the FAA.

I doubt they would shoot them down, though Geraldo would eat that up for the story. But you can count on one thing for sure - when they landed, the pilot of the helicopter would be relieved of his license before the rotors stopped spinning down.

By the way - did anybody realize that the Mayor of Galveston is actually a part-time, unpaid position? Found that in a newspaper article. The City Manager usually runs the city, she is only in power now because of the emergency powers act.


I watched the video of the Galveston city council meeting yesterday. She is clearly in over her head with all this. Mayor Brent Warr of Gulfport Mississippi is heading to Galveston with a convey of supplies. He is also going to try to help her and the Galveston council with the lessons he learned from Hurricane Katrina. He had only been in office two months when Katrina hit. He's done a pretty good job of navigating through all the FEMA and other Federal government red tape.

I don't know for sure, but I also think he may also been able to persuade her to call for a mandatory evacuation. He had been on the phone with her and he probably let her know what the forecasted storm surge could do based on our experiences with Katrina.

I'm hoping he'll be able to help. Our fire chief is already there helping with search and rescue.
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762. LufkinFamily 09:50 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
I am new to this blog. Just made it through IKE with minimal damage unlike some of the other people in this town. Please tell me what you are seeing forming in the tropics now.
763. presslord 09:50 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Anybody out there? Up early at work on our relief project....
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764. aquak9 09:53 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
You're never alone on WU, Press m'friend...
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765. presslord 09:53 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Kufkin...if you'll scroll back a bit...orca systems has a pretty good synopsis...I think the consensus is that there are a couple of possibilities for development....
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766. presslord 09:54 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Aqua! mornin!!!!
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767. aquak9 09:57 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
766- please modify
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768. stoormfury 10:01 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
morning
i might be wrong but it appears that a surface low is trying to form south east of Barbados. there is a noticeable rotation at 12.5 n 57 w. pressures are low in the area but the QS missed the area this morning. i will have to wait for visible sat pics to ascertain if a low is really forming east of the windwards islands
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769. aquak9 10:03 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
PRESS- WU MAIL
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770. presslord 10:07 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
aqua....I simply don't have enough coffee in me yet....How ah ya?
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771. extreme236 10:08 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Huge convective flare up over and east of the Antilles. Shower activity has also increased with a tropical wave south of Haiti, north of South America in the Central Caribbean.

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772. LufkinFamily 10:12 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Help aquak9. I am blundering my way through this blog. First time to participate in blogs. I have noticed that all of the posts are GMT. Is this supposed to be mountain time? Kind of confusing.

Many still out of power here in Lufkin, Texas. Luckily, ours came on yesterday morning. Talk about withdrawal from Internet. Luckily, had power at work the first of the week.

I am trying to see what might be in store for us next if anything. We used to spend lots of time in Gilchrist and Crystal Beach. Such a sad thing.
773. presslord 10:16 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
extreme...mornin....Does the Antilles blob seem to have potential?
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774. indianrivguy 10:17 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Morning gang, I hope everyone is well this morning!
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775. presslord 10:17 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Lufkin,.....go to 'setting's' at the top of screen....
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777. tkeith 10:24 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
mornin press, just dropped SJ a post, told him if him and Mrs. Press are gonna be gone tha leaves the lunitics to run the asylum (you)..lol.. you guys have truley inspired me with venture never thought i'd awed by folks in a weather blog...nice surprise..
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778. presslord 10:28 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
tkieth....Thanks!!!! this is the most personally gratifying thing (aside from raising my kids) that I've ever been apart of...not sure what to think about the fact that my wife is so anxious to go spent 4 or 5 days in a tent with stormjunkie :)....

www.portlight.org
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779. WxLogic 10:31 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Good morning...
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780. tkeith 10:35 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
I came to NOLA three days after Katrina. I'm still here. what I experienced had a profound impact on me. seeing what extraordinary things can come from ordinary people life changing experience for country boy from arkansas. selflessness is contagious and I see alot of people catching it... thats a good thing...glad I could participate even in a small way...keith
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781. LufkinFamily 10:36 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Okay Press..did that. I assume that I go under one of the topics, ie Hurricane/Tropics..etc?
Gotta get ready for work now, but will check back this afternoon. Hopefully, I will get the hang of this soon!!
782. WxLogic 10:41 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Here's my take on the disturbance area in the Antilles.

Currently there're 3 forecast models (CMC, GFS, NOGAPS) that are developing it and they vary on strenght and organization.

CMC: Develops it south of DR and moves it N before it hits a High to its north and it would either go W towards the Bahamas or out to sea... remains to be seen and need to watch for more consistency on this one.

GFS: Develops it and handles it like a Fay.

NOGAPS: Develops it like CMC and takes it out to sea due.

In my opinion current conditions are favorable for development in the Carib. Sea. Low shear between 5 to 10 knots, plenty of moisture and a ULL to its NW and far enough away from it enhance the formation of a High aloft and help with the outflow. Like I mention yesterday evening following a post KEEPEROFTHEGATE made. So if this disturbance area keeps getting its act together and persists then there's going to definitely be some development and forecast model persistance on this one will also play a role.
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783. agrarianrrl 10:42 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
That doesn't look right, not enough room for 4 lots between the lone house and the highway. It looks to me as if it was put there, after the fact.

Quoting lopaka001:
Just reading through the blog and some peeps didn't think that was the house in Doc's blog.
Here is the best view of that house IMHO!
Look for the blue drum and you will see it on the map image below.
Church Street House
Still can't believe that huge house next to him is gone and didn't damage that lone house at all..
;=O
784. agrarianrrl 10:55 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Were the pathogens (from Galveston National Lab at UTMB) destroyed before Ike hit the coast or were they "put in proper containers": there appear to be contradictions in this story.

Link
785. MisterJohnny 10:56 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Good Morning Indianrivguy
786. JRRP 10:59 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
771
impressive wave !!
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787. presslord 11:10 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
unaccounted for "pathogens" is such a pleasant thought to wake up to......
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788. Cotillion 11:12 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Morning all!
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789. Vero1 11:19 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Quoting presslord:
extreme...mornin....Does the Antilles blob seem to have potential?


000
AXNT20 KNHC 181034
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU SEP 18 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE IS NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS ALONG 22W/23W S
OF 18N MOVING W 10 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
WAVE. A LOW LEVEL SWIRL IS SEEN NEAR 17N22W. THE TPW PRODUCT
FROM CIMSS ALSO INDICATES A BULGE OF MOISTURE E OF 28W.

A LOW AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 43W S OF 14N MOVING W 10
KT. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE. ISOLATED
SHOWERS ARE HOWEVER WITHIN 180 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 70W S OF 19N MOVING W 10-15 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COASTS OF
VENEZUELA AND N COLOMBIA FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 69W-77W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA
ALONG 86W/87W S OF 22N MOVING W 10-15 KT. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ARE OVER A LARGE AREA FROM 09N-18N
BETWEEN 80W-92W.

...THE ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 19N17W 10N28W 11N62W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF
SOUTH AMERICA FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 56W-64W. SCATTERED SHOWERS
ARE OVER A LARGE AREA FROM 4N-13N BETWEEN 20W-45W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A WEAK QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM N FLORIDA TO THE BAY
OF CAMPECHE ALONG 30N79W 28N84W 27N91W 18N94W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS OVER THE W GULF OF MEXICO AND THE BAY OF CAMPECHE
FROM 17N-26N BETWEEN 91W-97W. 10-15 NLY WINDS ARE N OF THE
FRONT...WHILE 10 KT ELY WINDS ARE S OF THE FRONT. IN THE UPPER
LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE NEAR 22N98W PRODUCING ANTICYCLONIC FLOW W OF 90W. A
TROUGH IS OVER THE E GULF OF MEXICO AND FLORIDA E OF 90W. EXPECT
...THE FRONT TO RETROGRADE SLIGHTLY N THEN DISSIPATE OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. EXPECT CONTINUED CONVECTION OVER THE W GULF OF
MEXICO W OF 90W FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ALSO EXPECT AIRMASS
CONVECTION OVER S FLORIDA AND THE KEYS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND CENTRAL
AMERICA. SEE ABOVE. FRESH SURFACE EASTERLIES DOMINATE MUCH OF
THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER
LEVEL HIGH IS OVER HONDURAS NEAR 15N87W. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS
CENTERED N OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS NEAR 22N64W. DIFFLUENCE E OF
THE CENTER IS PRODUCING AN IMPRESSIVE AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS FROM 14N-20N
BETWEEN 58W-64W. SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE DOMINATES THE
ENTIRE CARIBBEAN. EXPECT CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL
WAVES OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ALSO EXPECT AIRMASS CONVECTION
OVER CENTRAL AMERICA.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE OVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SEE ABOVE. A 1014 MB LOW IS OVER THE W
ATLANTIC NEAR 33N65W, A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS SW FROM THE LOW
TO THE SRN BAHAMAS NEAR 24N73W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 120
NM OF THE TROUGH AXIS. A 1023 MB SURFACE HIGH IS OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 33N50W. THE TAIL END OF A COLD FRONT IS
OVER THE E ATLANTIC ALONG 32N16W 26N24W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 90 NM OF THE FRONT. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A RIDGE IS OVER
THE W ATLANTIC N OF 20N BETWEEN 70W-80W. UPPER LEVEL LOWS ARE
OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 27N47W...AND AT 23N40W. A LARGE
TROUGH IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC N OF 20N AND E OF 30W. TWO UPPER
LEVEL HIGHS ARE CENTERED OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC AT 15N54W...
AND AT 12N28W. EXPECT THE TROPICAL WAVES TO PROPAGATE WEST WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

$$
FORMOSA



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790. Vero1 11:22 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
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791. Vero1 11:23 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
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792. JRRP 11:30 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
790
the tropic isn´t quiet, this activity promises something
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793. FLDART1 11:36 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Goosd Morning all, Just got back in about 3AM from Bridge City / Orange,TX. What a mess. am trying to get some pics up now. Home for 2 days and then headed back out with another crew and more supplies.
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794. StormJunkie 11:46 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Some observers question the wisdom of building top-level biolabs on a barrier island vulnerable to severe tropical storms and intense flooding.

First let me apologize to Dr M for the nash/vort moment I am about to have....(no offense guys, but if I did not try to lighten the mood of the gravity of this some, I am not sure I could have even gotten through posting it.)

No shit!!! I have no problem and completely understand people wanting to live on our beautiful coastlines, but common sense has to kick in somewhere with stuff like this...

There are Portlight Relief updates in my blog.
Member Since: Αύγουστος 17, 2005 Posts: 26 Comments: 15218
795. FLDART1 11:50 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Photobucket
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796. FLDART1 11:52 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Photobucket
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797. Cotillion 11:52 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Hey SJ. How're things going?

000
ABNT20 KNHC 180514
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU SEP 18 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

Still blissful. :)
Member Since: Αύγουστος 23, 2008 Posts: 7 Comments: 5300
798. TheMom 11:53 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
Quoting Orcasystems:


Ahhh so POGO is an addiction :)
Wunderground and fantasticcontraption.com are my addictions ;-) Did anything happen with getting the 12 step set up for WU or is December - May pretty much the only hope?
Member Since: Αύγουστος 3, 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 672
799. Chucktown 11:59 AM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
abnt20 knhc 181158
twoat

tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl 800 am edt thu sep 18 2008

for the north atlantic...caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico...

a tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trough is producing a large area of showers and a few thunderstorms over the lesser antilles. conditions do not appear conducive for development of this system during the next couple of days...but locally heavy rains could continue over portions of the windward and leeward islands today.

tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.
Member Since: Αύγουστος 27, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1383
800. Vero1 12:00 PM GMT on Σεπτέμβριος 18, 2008    
000
ABNT20 KNHC 181158
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU SEP 18 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS PRODUCING
A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE LESSER
ANTILLES. CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...BUT LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS COULD CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND LEEWARD
ISLANDS TODAY.

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB
Member Since: Ιούλιος 21, 2008 Posts: 4 Comments: 2233

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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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